Predicting Shrimp Prices in India: A Forecast Using Random Walk Model
Published: 2018
Author(s) Name: Vatsal B. Patel and Vinod B. Patel |
Author(s) Affiliation: Prof., Dept. of Business and Industrial Mgt., VNSGU, Surat, Gujarat, India.
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Abstract
Shrimp continues to be one of the most traded food commodities in the world.
Due to its taste and nutritional benefits, there has been a major growth in the
demand of shrimps from the developed nations in the world. Changing
demographic pattern of the world population has caused shrimps to be a
preferred species in the developing country to fulfill their food requirement.
With the marine resources continuously depleting, aquaculture emerges as an
industry, capable to fulfill the rising demand of shrimps in the world. The aim of
this paper is to study the pattern of the shrimp prices in India. Further an
attempt has been made to predict the future movement of the shrimp prices in
India using the random walk model.
Keywords: Shrimp, forecast, time series, trend analysis, random walk.
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