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Examining the Fisher Effect in Short and Long Run: A Study of NSE Sectoral Indices

International Journal of Financial Management

Volume 7 Issue 2 & 3

Published: 2017
Author(s) Name: Khalid Ul Islam, M. M. Goyal | Author(s) Affiliation: Research Scholar (Ph.D.), Dept. of Commerce, Delhi School of Eco., Univ. of Delhi, Delhi, India.
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Abstract

The belief that stock market provides hedge against inflation has been put to test by many researchers over the past few decades. The present study aims at testing the Fisher effect in the Indian context. We have used monthly data, from July 2006 to June 2016, of the National Stock Exchange sectoral indices and consumer price index. The ordinary least square regression and Johansen cointegration approach have been used to test whether or not Indian sectoral indices provide hedge against inflation in short and long run respectively. The weak exogenity test under VECM has been used to establish the hedge hypothesis in the Indian stock market. The present study has established results in support to the hedge hypothesis that stock market provides hedge against inflation.

Keywords: Inflation, Stock Returns, Johansen Cointegration, OLS Regression, Weak Exogenity

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