Integration between Indian Stock Market and Developed Stock Markets

Abstract

This study investigates the stock market integration amongst important global stock markets, namely, Australia, Canada, France, Germany, India, UK and USA to examine the short-run and long-run relationships with Indian stock market and selected developed stock markets based on time series data for the period between 2001 (January 2) and 2016 (December 31). This study also examines the possibility of portfolio diversification between the Indian stock market and the developed stock markets. Low correlation is observed between Indian stock market and France stock market that indicates the possible gains from international diversifications. Johansen cointegration test confirms a precise long-term equilibrium connection amongst all the stock markets as a widespread strength. Granger causality test results based on VECM show that both Indian stock market and USA stock market are associated in the long-run but it would take long time to return to equilibrium and Indian stock market is associated with France, Germany and USA stock markets in the short-run, which entails that investors can earn reasonable benefits from international portfolio diversification in the short- run but benefits from international portfolio diversification in the long-run are restricted.

Keywords: Stock Market Integration, Stock Market Return, Portfolio Diversification, Johansen Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test

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